Jason Ngu

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Fame: 497
置死地而后生
No news is good news
No bad news is good news

Joined Aug 2021

Comments

recently (since last year) he picked some semi conductor stocks, and due to AI booming causing semi-cond stocks are on fire.

One of the best performamce semi conductor stock picked by Icap is KGB. He picked this stock eaely in Year 2020 at roughly RM 0.70 per share, today this stock is RM 8.xx

I also followed him bought in KGB, but couldn't hold long and sold very early
2 days · translate
He (TTB) wants to, but present condition doesnt not allow him to do so, because if no dividend, icap share not attractive. so in order to encourage pp buying icap shares, he amended the co dividend policy
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most probably this month declares dividend.
last year was 22/8/25
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I guess London Boy wants to exit icap shareholding. Today top up another few lots
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@Legendary, for Icap share price from listing till now CAGR is 5.42%. That is why there is a discount to its NAV
1 week · translate
Icap 的單一股东持股不可超过20%
1 week · translate
ICAP资产净值(RM)
自成立日起
ICAP

年复合回酬率 CAGR 8.08%
1 week · translate
用最新数据(NAV RM4.32,市价RM2.43,折价RM1.89)套用ICAP的股息公式:
1% × NAV + 8% × 折价额
1% × 4.32 = 0.0432
8% × 1.89 = 0.1512
合计 = 0.1944 RM = 19.44仙
殖利率 = 19.44 ÷ 243 = 8.00%

有8% dividend yield, 你还不心动?☺️
1 week · translate
按最新数据(RM4.32 NAV, RM2.43股价, 折价RM1.89)套用ICAP的股息公式——1% NAV + 8%折价——算出来是:
19.44仙 ÷ RM2.43 ≈ 8.0%

加仓机会怎么看,给你两面:
多头逻辑:
NAV年复合8.08%,选股能力持续兑现
折价43.75%已经是历史极端水平,统计上有均值回归的诱因
派息公式本身有自我修正效果——折价越宽,分红越多,某种程度上给了下档保护
空头逻辑:
这个折价结构持续了20年从未真正收窄,2017年CLIM还发起过董事改选挑战都没能改变治理结构
CLIM作为最专业的折价套利玩家都在退出而非加码,这是个有分量的负面数据点
没有清晰的催化剂(清算/转开放式/回购)能强制折价收窄,纯靠"等市场想通"风险很高
持仓层面,这才是我觉得你更该关注的:
科技/半导体设备类合计占比高达约49%——Kelington(20.43%,单一持仓集中度惊人)、SAM Engineering(14.69%)、MI Technovation(4.24%)、Unisem(3.12%)、Dufu(2.52%)、Edelteq(合计2.71%)
1 week · translate
Uncle Wong, 我持Icap大约二十多年了。持股從Icap listing在2005年第一天算起
1 week · translate
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